Brian Dake

Vaccine Eligibility for All Wisconsin Adults in May ‘A Very Realistic Goal’

While many in Wisconsin wait anxiously for COVID-19 vaccine eligibility, state health officials say good news from the federal government on vaccine production could mean eligibility for all Wisconsinites by in less than three months.

Officials were heartened by an announcement this week from the Biden Administration that vaccines will be available to all adults by the end of May.

“I think eligibility for everybody in May is a very realistic goal,” Julie Willems Van Dijk, deputy secretary for the state Department of Health Services, said Thursday.

“The addition of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine to our federal allocation and the news of increased production for all three vaccines means our state will get more vaccine,” she said.

But she cautioned that while vaccine may be available in May, it might be June or July before all adults who want a vaccine can get it.

“It will depend on how many people we have vaccinated in May,” she said.

Meanwhile, the state is still hashing out the next wave of eligibility for a vaccine. At least some people with pre-existing conditions that make at risk for serious illness from COVID-19 infections will likely be included.

GOP Leaders Reject Governor Evers’ Plan to Allow Local Sales Tax Increases

Gov. Tony Evers’ proposal to allow local governments to increase sales taxes with voter approval is “dead on arrival,” according to state GOP leaders.

Under the governor’s sales tax plan, which was included inhis 2021-23 state budget proposal, counties and municipalities with populations over 30,000 would be able to increase sales tax by 0.5 percent, as long as the increase was approved by voters through a ballot referendum.

“There is no chance this is going to happen,” said Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, R-Rochester.  “I think the problem we are looking at, especially in Milwaukee, is systematic problems where they have made bad decisions over decades they now do not have the courage to solve. Now they want to go to taxpayers for an easy, quick fix. That is just not going to happen.”

The Wisconsin Counties Association supports the governor’s plan, saying it would provide much-needed help funding state-mandated local government programs. Other groups, including the Metropolitan Milwaukee Association of Commerce, have also come out in support of the proposal.

Senate Majority Leader Devin LeMahieu, R-Oostburg, indicated Senate Republicans may be more open to the plan if the sales tax increases were directed toward property tax relief. But he said it’s “very doubtful” counties would choose to use the money that way.

Wisconsin DFI and BBB Wisconsin Warn Businesses About Misleading Solicitations

Yesterday, the Wisconsin Department of Financial Institutions (DFI) and the Better Business Bureau Serving Wisconsin (BBB) warned businesses about solicitations designed to look like invoices arriving through postal mail and being reported to both DFI and BBB from “WI Certificate Service.”

The solicitation is designed to look like it is from the Secretary of State and requests payment of $72.50 for a “Certificate of Status.” The solicitation is not being sent by DFI, and the requested payment amount far exceeds the $10 fee DFI charges to obtain an official certificate of status online. The solicitation is not a valid invoice and businesses are advised to not pay it.

Buried within a paragraph on the mailing is the following sentence, which could easily be missed, “WI Certificate Service is not affiliated with any government or state agency and this is a solicitation for your business.” The address used by “WI Certificate Service” is actually a Madison UPS store and the toll-free phone number listed on the mailing is not a working number, according to BBB research.

These types of solicitations can mislead consumers into overpaying for documents that businesses can obtain from DFI directly,” said DFI Secretary Kathy Blumenfeld. “Carefully review all notices received and contact DFI with questions or to purchase an official certificate of status.”

 

Wisconsin Banks, Credit Unions Saw Double-Digit Income Increase in 2020

Wisconsin’s state-chartered banks and credit unions both saw their combined net income increase double-digits in 2020, according to data from the state Department of Financial Institutions.

The state’s 135 state-chartered banks reported net income of $778.9 million last year, an increase of 17.2% from 2019. The 118 state-chartered credit unions increased net income by 18.1% to $506.1 million.

State-chartered banks ended 2020 with total assets of $63.8 billion, a growth rate of 13.3% and an increase of $7.5 billion from 2019. The banks had a return on average assets ratio of 1.34%, up from 1.25% in 2019.

State credit unions grew their total assets at a 20.6% rate to $49.5 billion, a jump of $8.5 bill. The return on average assets increased from 1.1% to 1.12%.

Banks saw delinquent loans as a percentage of total loans drop from 1.33% to 1.06%. At the same time, banks increased their allowance for loan losses from $532 million or 1.28% to $640 million or 1.45%.

Likewise, credit unions saw delinquent loans decrease from 0.7% to 0.56% but their allowance for loan losses increased from $199 million to $269.1 million.

DHS Announces Groups Eligible for COVID-19 Vaccine on March 1

The Department of Health Services (DHS) announced that new groups will be eligible for the COVID-19 vaccine starting March 1. The newly eligible groups, initially announced in January, include in priority order:

  • education and child care staff;
  • people enrolled in Medicaid long-term care programs;
  • some public-facing essential workers;
  • non-frontline essential health care personnel and;
  • facility staff and residents in congregate living settings.

While these groups are eligible on March 1, educators and child care providers should anticipate receiving vaccine in March and early April, and the remaining groups can plan to be vaccinated in April and May.

Due to the limited supply of vaccine doses, people 65 and older, educators, and child care workers will be prioritized for the vaccine. Based on the current allocation numbers, it will take about two months to vaccinate these groups.

Groups eligible March 1 were recommended for the vaccine based on relative vulnerability and risk of exposure to COVID-19. This will add more than 700,000 people to the number able to get vaccinated.

Senate Parliamentarian Nixes Federal Minimum Wage Hike in COVID-19 Relief Bill

The Senate parliamentarian on Thursday ruled against including a boost to the minimum wage in a $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill, arguing that it runs afoul of budget rules.

The decision from the parliamentarian, Elizabeth MacDonough, is a significant blow to progressives, who viewed the plan to increase the minimum wage to $15 per hour as one of their top priorities in the massive coronavirus relief plan. Because Democrats are trying to pass the coronavirus bill through reconciliation — a fast-track process that lets them bypass the 60-vote legislative filibuster — every provision has to comply with arcane budget rules.

Democrats will instead need 60 votes to overcome an inevitable GOP challenge in the wake of the parliamentarian’s ruling, support that it doesn’t have, if they want the minimum wage hike to survive the Senate.

Sen. Lindsey Graham (S.C.), the top Republican on the Budget Committee, immediately declared victory following the ruling. “Very pleased the Senate Parliamentarian has ruled that a minimum wage increase is an inappropriate policy change in reconciliation,” he said.

Senate Budget Committee Chairman Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who had said he was optimistic that the parliamentarian would side with him, said that the Congressional Budget Office made it “absolutely clear” that raising the minimum wage “had a substantial budgetary impact and should be allowed under reconciliation.”

“I strongly disagree with tonight’s decision by the Senate Parliamentarian,” he said.

Sanders added that he will now try to get language added to the coronavirus bill that takes away tax breaks from large corporations that do not have a $15 per hour wage, and to try to incentivize small businesses to increase their wages.

“That amendment must be included in this reconciliation bill,” he said.

 

Governor Evers’ Budget Tax Proposals Total a $1 Billion Increase

The net impact of Gov. Tony Evers’ budget tax proposals would be a $1 billion increase over the biennium, according to his office.

The biggest chunk of that would come from matching state tax laws to the provisions of a tax bill former President Trump signed in December 2017. The combined impact of the numerous changes would be an increase of $540.1 million.

UW-Madison economics Professor Noah Williams said in general, “federalizing” the state tax code makes sense as it simplifies the combined tax code.

“I also can’t help but point out that the state standard deduction is a great candidate for federalizing,” said Williams, founding director of the conservative Center for Research On the Wisconsin Economy. “As it is now, the phase-out of the deduction means that families a bit below the median income have the highest state marginal income tax rates.

But Wisconsin Manufacturers & Commerce said Evers is selectively choosing to conform only to those provisions in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 that would raise revenue.

“Cherry-picking conformity provisions that increase revenue, without conforming to any of the TCJA provisions that cut taxes is not a serious discussion; it is simply trying to score political points on the backs of Main Street Wisconsin businesses,” said Cory Fish, WMC’s director of legal affairs. “During the middle of an economic crisis, any conformity should result in a net tax cut to help Wisconsin job creators continue to resuscitate Wisconsin’s economy.”

Two years ago, Republicans rejected Evers’ attempt to place new limits on the manufacturing and ag credit. But he has brought back the proposal. Like last time, it would restrict the credit for manufacturers to $300,000 per tax year. The change would raise an additional $487.4 million over the biennium.

Williams said Evers’ move goes in the wrong direction by raising taxes on narrower groups.

“For example, while in previous research I have found that the (manufacturing and agriculture credit) has contributed to employment growth in the state, a reasonable argument would be to reform the MAC in favor of lowering overall business taxes,” he said. “Instead, Evers simply proposes eliminating the MAC for larger businesses, which would likely eliminate most of its benefit with nothing gained in return.”

Fish added that hiking taxes on the largest part of Wisconsin’s private sector in the middle of a pandemic is “terrible public policy.”

“The Manufacturing and Agriculture Tax Credit has helped attract new businesses to, and keep legacy businesses in, Wisconsin,” he said. “The legislature should not give in to Gov. Evers and let him turn Wisconsin into the next Illinois.”

Evers also wants to change the capital gains exclusion. The proposal would maintain the current deduction for 30 percent of net gains from stocks, precious metals and real estate held for more than one year for single filers with an income below $400,000 and married joint filers making less than $533,000. The exclusion would be eliminated for filers making more than those limits. The proposal would raise taxes $350.5 million over the biennium.

But Williams said it’s unlikely that the capital gains tax would raise the projected amount of revenue.

“Past episodes of capital gains increases have found that people either realize the gains before the tax takes hold or delay realization,” he explained. Williams also noted that the proposed sharp rise in the cost of capital is at a time when Wisconsin should encourage saving and investment in the state.

Fish pointed out that the proposal would disproportionately affect retirees and those preparing for retirement — the most mobile workers in Wisconsin. This budget item would force them to leave the state, he said, resulting in Wisconsin getting none of the tax revenue.

Legislature Approves Unemployment System Upgrades, COVID Legal Immunity for Businesses

The state Legislature has approved a plan to once again waive Wisconsin’s one-week waiting period for unemployment benefits, as well as move forward with updating the archaic technology behind Wisconsin’s unemployment system, and to give businesses and schools legal immunity during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The state Assembly voted 89-0 in support of the bill, which includes all three provisions, on Tuesday afternoon. The plan passed the state Senate last week and now moves to Gov. Tony Evers’ desk for his signature.

The proposal approved Tuesday does not include any state funding to begin the upgrades. Instead, it requires the workforce department to exhaust any available federal funds first and return to the Legislature’s state budget committee with a specific price tag for completing the work.

The bill would also extend a waiver of the state’s one-week waiting period for unemployment benefits until March 13. The waiting period is currently back in effect after a previous suspension, approved in last year’s COVID-19 response bill, ended Feb. 7.

Supporters of the plan argue it will protect them against frivolous lawsuits brought by people who cannot prove where they contracted the virus.

“For a lot of businesses, it’s just the risk of (lawsuits),” said Rep. Mark Born, R-Beaver Dam. “They just want certainty, they want to know they’re doing the things they need to do to keep their employees and their customers safe, but they don’t want frivolous lawsuits hanging over their heads.”

Strong Housing Market Continues into 2021

Following a record year for home sales in 2020, the Wisconsin existing home market started the new year on record pace even as inventories continued to tighten statewide, according to the most recent analysis by the Wisconsin Realtors Association (WRA). January home sales increased 9.8% compared to that same month last year, and the median price rose 10.5% to $210,000 over that same period. This established a new January record in Wisconsin for both home sales and the median price, according to the report.

“January is typically the slowest month of the year, so it’s encouraging to see such a strong market to start 2021,” said WRA Board Chair Mary Duff. In a typical year, the month of January accounts for just 4.8% of annual sales. In contrast, sales usually peak in June, and the volume is nearly two and half times greater, accounting for 11.6% of sales. Duff cautioned that the record pace is unlikely to continue due to a severe shortage of homes for sale.

“Unfortunately, January ushered in another Wisconsin record, and that’s record-low inventories,” said Duff. There was just 2.1 months of available homes for sale in January, down from 3.5 months a year earlier. The last time there was a balanced market in the state was in summer 2017 when there was about six months of supply, and it has been a seller’s market ever since. “

Going forward, we may be able to surpass the depressed level of home sales last spring, but we will struggle to keep pace with 2020 unless inventories improve,” said Duff.

Federal Government Requires PUA Recipients to Provide Employment Documentation to Get UI Benefits

Thousands of people will be getting letters from the Department of Workforce Development ensuring Wisconsinites are aware of a new federal requirement that they must provide documentation to continue receiving Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA). The new documentation requirement is part of the federal Continued Assistance Act passed in late December and put into place under the Trump Administration.

Under the federal Continued Assistance Act, the federal government now requires that people seeking PUA benefits must send proof of employment or self-employment (or planned start of employment or self-employment) for the year before their PUA application date. Under federal law, anyone who fails to provide proof will be required to repay any PUA benefits received for the week of December 27, 2020, or later.

PUA provides benefits for people who are not eligible for regular unemployment insurance, like those who are self-employed or certain independent contractors.

Acceptable forms of documentation meeting the new federal requirement include:

  • Employment: Paycheck stubs, earnings and leave statements showing the employer’s name and address, and W-2 forms
  • Self-employment: Business licenses, tax returns, business receipts, and signed affidavits from persons verifying the individual’s self-employment
  • Peace Corps, AmeriCorps, and educational/religious organizations: Documentation provided by the organization and signed affidavits from persons verifying the individual’s attachment to such organizations
  • Proof of the planned commencement of employment: Letters offering employment, statements/ affidavits by individuals (with name and contact information) verifying an offer of employment
  • Proof of the planned commencement of self-employment: Business licenses, written business plans, or a lease agreement

For more information on Pandemic Unemployment Assistance, visit https://www.dwd.wisconsin.gov/uiben/pua/.